Watching
The news moves fast, so we slow it down. This is what we're watching today, each item tied to the document it came from, so you can read the source yourself before you decide what it means. Checked twice a day, at 8am and 4pm.
These items come from the evidence notes on our predictions #9 and #10.
· Last checked
UK inflation above target: CPI 3.1% in August and an open letter triggered. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote, with 3 voting for a hike, so there's no sign yet of tolerating inflation. Next: CPI 21 Oct, Budget and DMO remit 28 Oct.
Source: ONS CPI, Aug 2026 (16 Sep) (opens in new tab) · Bank of England MPC minutes, Sep 2026 (opens in new tab)
· Last checked
Bank of England paused APF gilt auctions and halted long-dated gilt sales. This happened before #10 was logged, so it doesn't count as a tick.
Source: Bank of England market notice, 17 Sep 2026 (opens in new tab)
