We show our working. Check it.
Every claim here is labelled: VERIFIED, OUR READING or PREDICTION. Here's how it works.
Every policy arrives with a story about why it's needed and what it will cost. Behind the story sit the documents. We read those, and we label what we find.
VERIFIED means it's in an official document, and we link to it so you can read it yourself.
OUR READING means that's what we think the documents add up to. You may read them differently.
PREDICTION means we think that's where a policy is heading. We date it, name what would prove it, and leave it up if we're wrong.
We don't deal in rumour, and we won't tell you what to think.
Last checked 9 Oct 2026. Corrections: Corrections policy · Archive